PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 1
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
PSV
3 - 0
MVV
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 1
PSV
15%
23%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 2
HFC
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
3 - 0
NEC
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 3
GAE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |