PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
2 - 0
VVV
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 3
PSV
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
5 - 1
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
1 - 1
VCF
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
6 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 4
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |