PSV vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 0
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
PSV
3 - 0
AUX
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 5
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
BVB
1 - 1
PSV
45%
26%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
PSV
0 - 0
RJC
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
SCH
3 - 1
GRA
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
50%
23%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |