Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 2-0
PSV vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 1
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
18%
25%
57%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
6 - 2
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
ISK
0 - 3
CVA
32%
28%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 0
ISK
56%
26%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
FKM
2 - 2
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CVA
2 - 0
SSO
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 1
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |