PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 2
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PSV
4 - 1
VVV
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
RKC
1 - 4
PSV
4%
13%
83%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
UTR
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
AZA
3 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AZA
5 - 3
WIL
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TWE
1 - 3
AZA
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |