PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 2
SCP
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
PSV
5 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
RKC
1 - 3
PSV
4%
13%
83%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
APO
0 - 4
PSV
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 0
APO
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 0
LIL
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 4
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
APO
70%
18%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
APO
0 - 0
AJA
26%
23%
52%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |