PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
43%
27%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
CVA
0 - 1
PSV
30%
29%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
3 - 3
VVV
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 0
CVA
66%
21%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
4 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |