PSNI vs Moyola Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PSN
3 - 1
GLE
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
NEY
1 - 1
PSN
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PSN
1 - 3
GLE
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PSN
1 - 5
BAL
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
QUB
1 - 3
PSN
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MOY
4 - 0
LCE
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 0
MOY
78%
13%
8%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MOY
1 - 1
BAN
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOY
3 - 2
CCF
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MOY
0 - 1
WAK
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |