Provincial Ovalle vs Colina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
REN
3 - 1
OVA
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OVA
0 - 2
DLI
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CDP
1 - 0
OVA
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OVA
1 - 1
DUC
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 0
OVA
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ACC
1 - 2
DLI
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DUC
1 - 0
ACC
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ACC
3 - 0
MSA
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
REN
2 - 1
ACC
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACC
2 - 2
CDP
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |