Project 51O vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Project 51O
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UPD
4 - 5
PRO
27%
21%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 2
PRO
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
4 - 0
MFC
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
4 - 3
FRA
70%
17%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
MON
28%
24%
49%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
TUC
1 - 0
VEN
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TUC
3 - 2
FLA
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
TUC
1 - 1
CFC
86%
9%
5%
|
48 | 12 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TUC
2 - 0
AMS
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SEA
2 - 3
TUC
8%
14%
79%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |