Progresso vs Wagiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
PRO
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BDC
2 - 2
PRO
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
HAN
43%
23%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
ALT
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
PRO
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
WAG
2 - 2
POL
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
WAG
1 - 4
PLA
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
4 - 1
WAG
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 0
WAG
46%
22%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
WAG
0 - 3
BDC
21%
20%
60%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |