1. Liga Round 23

AFA Olaine vs SK Super Nova analysis

AFA Olaine SK Super Nova
46 ELO 61
12% Tilt 8.9%
6653º General ELO ranking 2322º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.6%
AFA Olaine
23.1%
Draw
56.4%
SK Super Nova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
AFA Olaine
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.4%
Win probability
SK Super Nova
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFA Olaine
-54%
+6%
SK Super Nova

Points and table prediction

AFA Olaine
Their league position
SK Super Nova
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
10º
65
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SK Super Nova
65
65
100%
Rigas FS II
63
63
100%
JDFS Alberts
58
58
100%
Riga FC II
48
48
100%
Skanstes
41
41
100%
Valmiera II
34
34
100%
FK Mārupe
33
33
100%
Leevon PPK
31
31
100%
JFK Ventspils
10º
30
30
100%
AFA Olaine
30
30
10º
100%
Ogre United
11º
29
29
11º
100%
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Smiltene
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Rezekne
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
AFA Olaine
SK Super Nova
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

AFA Olaine
SK Super Nova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFA Olaine
AFA Olaine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
PRA
AFA Olaine
2 - 0
JFK Ventspils
KFV
66%
19%
15%
46 38 8 0
09 Oct. 2024
PRA
AFA Olaine
2 - 2
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
TUK
55%
21%
24%
46 41 5 0
05 Oct. 2024
OUD
Ogre United
1 - 1
AFA Olaine
PRA
15%
17%
68%
46 25 21 0
29 Sep. 2024
PRA
AFA Olaine
5 - 1
FK Mārupe
MAR
52%
22%
26%
45 43 2 +1
21 Sep. 2024
SMI
Smiltene
0 - 4
AFA Olaine
PRA
30%
20%
50%
44 33 11 +1

Matches

SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
SUP
SK Super Nova
4 - 1
Valmiera II
VAL
57%
22%
21%
60 55 5 0
28 Sep. 2024
KFV
JFK Ventspils
1 - 0
SK Super Nova
SUP
17%
22%
61%
60 35 25 0
22 Sep. 2024
SUP
SK Super Nova
2 - 0
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
TUK
71%
17%
12%
60 43 17 0
15 Sep. 2024
RIG
Rigas FS II
0 - 2
SK Super Nova
SUP
56%
23%
22%
59 63 4 +1
08 Sep. 2024
RFA
Rezekne
0 - 3
SK Super Nova
SUP
8%
16%
76%
58 32 26 +1