Progreso vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 0
PRO
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
4 - 1
HFC
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 0
PRO
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
2 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PLA
2 - 1
PRO
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 1
SUD
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 0
ROC
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ATE
1 - 0
ROC
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 2
DEP
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |