Progreso vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 0
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 3
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
PRO
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CEL
0 - 0
PRO
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 0
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
BOS
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
IND
3 - 3
PEÑ
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 0
PEÑ
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |