Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CSY
2 - 0
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 3
ATE
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
PRO
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BOS
4 - 0
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
CSM
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 2
DEP
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CSY
1 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 2
HFC
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CSM
2 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |