Progreso vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 1
PRO
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 1
PRO
56%
22%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 3
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 1
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
PLA
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 1
CER
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CER
0 - 0
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CER
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 0
CER
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |