Progreso vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 0
PRO
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
BOS
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
DAN
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 3
CEL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 1
TOR
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 1
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 0
CEL
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |