Progreso vs Canadian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
TAC
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
ATE
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
PRO
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ETS
1 - 0
PRO
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
CEN
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 0
CSM
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ETS
2 - 0
CAN
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 3
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 3
DEP
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |