Progreso vs Canadian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
PRO
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
LFC
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
PRO
58%
22%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
CSY
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
PRO
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 2
DEP
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PLA
3 - 0
CAN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 4
HFC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
CSC
3 - 0
CAN
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 2
CEN
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |