Pro Patria vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PON
3 - 0
PRO
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 2
PSM
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
PRO
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
3 - 1
CIS
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
BUS
3 - 2
PRO
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
3 - 2
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
OLG
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
5 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
SER
31%
27%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |