Pro Patria vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ACL
4 - 1
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PRO
4 - 0
ACM
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRO
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PRO
4 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
PRO
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
PRG
34%
29%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
REC
2 - 1
SAN
23%
29%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 0
ASB
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |