Pro Patria vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 2
PRO
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
OLB
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
PRO
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
USA
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
PON
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
REN
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
GRO
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
REN
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |