Pro Patria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 1
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
JS2
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 0
PRO
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 3
PON
54%
26%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ABN
0 - 0
PRO
33%
30%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 1
NOV
37%
29%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
PIA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |