Principat vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FCR
2 - 0
PRI
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PRI
1 - 1
FCE
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LUS
0 - 1
PRI
39%
24%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
PRI
0 - 5
SCO
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 2
PRI
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SJU
3 - 2
INT
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SCO
1 - 0
SJU
41%
25%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
SJU
3 - 2
FCR
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FCE
0 - 2
SJU
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SJU
5 - 1
LUS
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |