Primavera SP vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
PRI
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 1
RIO
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 2
XVD
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
PRI
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PRI
3 - 2
OES
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 1
NOV
34%
24%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
PPE
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
3 - 2
NOV
7%
13%
80%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |