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Oberliga. Westfalen, Matchday 11

Preußen Münster II vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis

Preußen Münster II Siegen Sportfreunde
15 ELO 5
-18% Tilt 51%
558º General ELO ranking 4251º
33º Country ELO ranking 186º
ELO win probability
31%
Preußen Münster II
25.5%
Draw
43.5%
Siegen Sportfreunde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Preußen Münster II
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.5%
Win probability
Siegen Sportfreunde
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Preußen Münster II
+20%
-8%
Siegen Sportfreunde

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gutersloh
25
68
8%
Holzwickeder
18
89
26%
Westfalia Rhynern
18
75
8%
Sprockhövel
18
77
8%
ASC 09 Dortmund
18
72
7%
Kaan-Marienborn
16
92
2%
Meinerzhagen
15
69
6%
SpVgg Vreden
14
63
5%
Wattenscheid 09
14
56
11º
5%
Siegen Sportfreunde
10º
14
45
13º
6%
Preußen Münster II
11º
12
52
12º
5%
Ennepetal
12º
11
71
4%
TuS Haltern
13º
10
36
18º
6%
Erndtebrück
14º
9
30
20º
6%
Paderborn 07 II
15º
8
62
10º
4%
Schermbeck
16º
7
43
15º
7%
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
17º
7
40
17º
7%
Eintracht Rheine
18º
7
43
16º
6%
Victoria Clarholz
19º
6
44
14º
7%
Westfalia Herne
20º
1
22
21º
7%
Hammer SpVg
21º
0
33
19º
10%
Expected probabilities
Preußen Münster II
Siegen Sportfreunde
Champion
1% 1%
Promotion
2% 2%
Mid-table
70% 70%
Relegation
26% 27%

ELO progression

Siegen Sportfreunde
SPO
Preußen Münster II
PRE
TuS Haltern
TUS
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
Eintracht Rheine
ERH
Victoria Clarholz
TVC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Preußen Münster II
Preußen Münster II
1%
X%
2%
ELO PRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2020
PRE
Preußen Münster II
5 - 1
Schermbeck
SCH
51%
26%
23%
218 44 174 +1
11 Oct. 2020
PAD
Paderborn 07 II
3 - 2
Preußen Münster II
PRE
42%
27%
31%
202 71 -131 -1
04 Oct. 2020
PRE
Preußen Münster II
0 - 1
ASC 09 Dortmund
ASC
49%
26%
25%
203 78 125 -1
01 Oct. 2020
ERH
Eintracht Rheine
0 - 1
Preußen Münster II
PRE
42%
27%
31%
219 71 -148 +1
27 Sep. 2020
PRE
Preußen Münster II
0 - 1
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
47%
27%
26%
219 188 31 -1

Matches

Siegen Sportfreunde
Siegen Sportfreunde
1%
X%
2%
ELO SPO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
SPO
Siegen Sportfreunde
3 - 2
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
SFB
45%
27%
28%
91 71 20 +1
18 Oct. 2020
GUT
Gutersloh
1 - 1
Siegen Sportfreunde
SPO
47%
27%
26%
91 130 39 0
11 Oct. 2020
SPO
Siegen Sportfreunde
2 - 0
Kaan-Marienborn
KMA
46%
27%
28%
83 124 -41 +1
08 Oct. 2020
SPO
Siegen Sportfreunde
1 - 0
Meinerzhagen
MEI
45%
27%
29%
82 168 -86 +1
04 Oct. 2020
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
1 - 0
Siegen Sportfreunde
SPO
47%
27%
26%
83 122 39 -1