Preston North End vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
STO
0 - 2
PNE
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WIG
1 - 2
PNE
28%
28%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PNE
1 - 1
SWA
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 3
PNE
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
PNE
2 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 1
FUL
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 2
WBA
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SHW
0 - 0
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
LEE
3 - 2
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 2
SHE
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |