Championship . Jor. 43

Preston North End vs Derby County analysis

Preston North End Derby County
65 ELO 66
-3.1% Tilt -4.1%
586º General ELO ranking 615º
37º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
42.9%
Preston North End
26.8%
Draw
30.3%
Derby County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.3%
Win probability
Derby County
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Preston North End
+10%
+3%
Derby County

ELO progression

Preston North End
Derby County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
STO
Stoke City
0 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
52%
26%
23%
64 70 6 0
10 Apr. 2021
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 5
Brentford
BRE
18%
24%
58%
65 80 15 -1
05 Apr. 2021
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
62%
23%
15%
64 76 12 +1
02 Apr. 2021
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
18%
24%
58%
64 79 15 0
20 Mar. 2021
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
40%
28%
32%
64 67 3 0

Matches

Derby County
Derby County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2021
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Derby County
DER
47%
26%
27%
66 67 1 0
10 Apr. 2021
DER
Derby County
0 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
19%
25%
56%
66 79 13 0
05 Apr. 2021
REA
Reading
3 - 1
Derby County
DER
53%
25%
22%
67 70 3 -1
02 Apr. 2021
DER
Derby County
2 - 0
Luton Town
LUT
40%
28%
32%
66 68 2 +1
20 Mar. 2021
STO
Stoke City
1 - 0
Derby County
DER
50%
26%
24%
66 70 4 0
X