Prestatyn Town vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
6º
82
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
RTW
3 - 1
PRE
40%
21%
39%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
PRE
4 - 1
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CON
2 - 3
PRE
20%
19%
62%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
5 - 2
CON
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
PRE
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
COL
6 - 0
GUI
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
RTW
1 - 6
COL
18%
21%
62%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 4
COL
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
COL
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
HOL
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |