Praiense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 3
PRA
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PRA
2 - 0
CON
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PRA
2 - 1
BEN
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
USA
1 - 4
PRA
6%
16%
79%
|
50 | 15 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LEX
4 - 2
PRA
60%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SER
2 - 1
FAR
5%
14%
81%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
72%
18%
9%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
USA
82%
13%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
SER
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |