Praiense vs Flamengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
19.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
26%
12.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
PRA
FLA
FAB
PRA
ELE
VIT
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO PRA | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
PRA
45%
27%
28%
|
255 | 261 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 1
IDE
45%
27%
28%
|
254 | 232 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PRA
45%
27%
28%
|
252 | 254 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 1
RAB
46%
27%
27%
|
251 | 263 | -12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 2
PRA
46%
27%
27%
|
278 | 267 | -11 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FLA | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
IDE
6 - 1
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
258 | 231 | -27 | -3 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 3
RAB
45%
27%
28%
|
258 | 261 | -3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ANG
12 - 0
FLA
47%
27%
26%
|
261 | 358 | 97 | -3 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
PRA
47%
27%
26%
|
263 | 239 | 24 | -1 |