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III Divisao. Group Açores, Matchday 3

Praiense vs Águia CD analysis

Praiense Águia CD
20 ELO 19
44% Tilt 0%
2755º General ELO ranking 15001º
95º Country ELO ranking 246º
ELO win probability
59.9%
Praiense
21.2%
Draw
18.9%
Águia CD

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
Praiense
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.9%
Win probability
Águia CD
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitânia
º
43
43
0%
Praiense
º
38
38
0%
Santiago
º
37
37
0%
Prainha
º
29
29
0%
Boavista São
º
27
27
0%
SC Guadalupe
º
20
20
0%
Ideal
º
19
19
0%
Micaelense
º
15
15
0%
Fayal
º
13
13
0%
Águia CD
º
6
6
10º
0%
Expected probabilities
Praiense
Águia CD
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Águia CD
AGU
Praiense
PRA
Fayal
FAY
Santiago
SAN
Boavista São
BOA
Ideal
IDE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Praiense
Praiense
1%
X%
2%
ELO PRA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2011
PRA
Praiense
2 - 1
Santiago
SAN
45%
27%
28%
261 261 0 +1
18 Sep. 2011
SCG
SC Guadalupe
1 - 0
Praiense
PRA
45%
27%
28%
263 263 0 -1
24 Nov. 2002
PRA
Praiense
0 - 2
SC Covilha
SPC
29%
26%
45%
263 958 -695 -9

Matches

Águia CD
Águia CD
1%
X%
2%
ELO AGU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2011
AGU
Águia CD
0 - 2
SC Guadalupe
SCG
45%
27%
28%
263 264 -1 -2
18 Sep. 2011
PRA
Prainha
1 - 1
Águia CD
AGU
45%
27%
28%
263 263 0 0