PPJ vs PEPO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
7º
28
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
23% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PPJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FUT
0 - 3
PPJ
31%
21%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PPJ
5 - 1
JAP
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
PPJ
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 3
PPJ
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PPJ
0 - 2
MYP
48%
20%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 1
ATL
51%
23%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
PEP
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PEP
2 - 0
FCK
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NJS
3 - 3
PEP
26%
23%
52%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 2
FUT
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |