Mineiro 1 Trofeo Inconfidencia Final
Global 1-6
Pouso Alegre vs Athletic Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
POA
5 - 2
IFC
52%
23%
24%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IFC
4 - 1
POA
24%
24%
53%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
POA
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POA
0 - 2
CRZ
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 1
POA
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 0
UBE
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
CRB
2 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UBE
2 - 2
ATH
16%
21%
64%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
VOL
23%
21%
57%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |