Post vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
69%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
SWW
4 - 0
POS
92%
5%
2%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
WIE
9 - 0
POS
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
POS
0 - 8
FCW
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
RAP
2 - 0
POS
96%
3%
1%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
POS
0 - 6
AWM
19%
20%
62%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
AUS
1 - 1
VIE
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
VIE
5 - 1
WIE
62%
18%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
RAP
0 - 1
VIE
71%
15%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
FCW
1 - 2
VIE
44%
21%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
VIE
7 - 2
FAC
73%
14%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |