Post vs FAC Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+81%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
FAC
POS
RAP
VIE
SHW
AUS
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO POS | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1937 |
FAV
0 - 1
POS
46%
27%
27%
|
1341 | 1247 | -94 | +7 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
AWM
1 - 1
POS
60%
22%
18%
|
1338 | 1948 | 610 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
POS
0 - 1
AUS
41%
27%
32%
|
1344 | 1583 | -239 | -6 |
| 14 Apr. 1937 |
POS
1 - 3
WIE
53%
25%
22%
|
1362 | 1192 | 170 | -13 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
WIE
0 - 0
POS
45%
27%
28%
|
1362 | 1198 | -164 | 0 |
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FAC | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1937 |
FAC
5 - 1
SHW
53%
25%
22%
|
1152 | 958 | 194 | +11 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
FAC
3 - 1
FLW
46%
27%
27%
|
1142 | 1232 | -90 | +11 |
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
FAV
4 - 3
FAC
51%
26%
24%
|
1148 | 1255 | 107 | -6 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
FAC
2 - 4
SWW
45%
27%
28%
|
1158 | 1217 | -59 | -11 |
| 13 Mar. 1937 |
VIE
2 - 0
FAC
64%
21%
15%
|
1164 | 1758 | 594 | -5 |