Post vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GER
1 - 2
POS
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POS
1 - 0
FAV
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 2
POS
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
POS
1 - 1
GER
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TEA
0 - 0
POS
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DON
3 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SCW
3 - 1
DON
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
DON
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DON
3 - 1
GER
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUS
2 - 1
DON
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |