Primera D Metro. Apertura round 9

El Porvenir vs Dep. Muñiz analysis

El Porvenir Dep. Muñiz
30 ELO 34
-21.1% Tilt -25.5%
15365º General ELO ranking 15378º
146º Country ELO ranking 159º
ELO win probability
27.2%
El Porvenir
25.7%
Draw
47.1%
Dep. Muñiz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
El Porvenir
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.1%
Win probability
Dep. Muñiz
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
El Porvenir
+44%
-38%
Dep. Muñiz

Points and table prediction

El Porvenir
Their league position
Dep. Muñiz
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
20
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
El Porvenir
20
20
0%
Dep. Muñiz
20
20
0%
Sportivo Barracas
16
16
0%
CA Lugano
16
16
0%
Juventud Unida
15
15
0%
Defensores de Cambaceres
15
15
0%
Centro Español
14
14
100%
Mercedes
12
12
100%
Dep. Paraguayo
11
11
100%
Arg. Rosario
10º
11
11
10º
100%
Central Ballester
11º
1
1
11º
100%
Expected probabilities
El Porvenir
Dep. Muñiz
100% 100%

ELO progression

El Porvenir
Dep. Muñiz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

El Porvenir
El Porvenir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
ARR
Arg. Rosario
1 - 0
El Porvenir
POR
54%
26%
21%
28 35 7 0
29 Apr. 2023
POR
El Porvenir
2 - 1
Mercedes
MER
37%
24%
39%
27 29 2 +1
24 Apr. 2023
DPA
Dep. Paraguayo
0 - 0
El Porvenir
POR
39%
27%
35%
27 24 3 0
08 Apr. 2023
POR
El Porvenir
2 - 0
Sportivo Barracas
SBA
17%
23%
60%
23 38 15 +4
01 Apr. 2023
JUU
Juventud Unida
2 - 0
El Porvenir
POR
52%
24%
24%
24 25 1 -1

Matches

Dep. Muñiz
Dep. Muñiz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2023
MUÑ
Dep. Muñiz
1 - 0
Sportivo Barracas
SBA
38%
26%
36%
35 37 2 0
02 May. 2023
JUU
Juventud Unida
1 - 1
Dep. Muñiz
MUÑ
32%
26%
43%
35 27 8 0
23 Apr. 2023
MUÑ
Dep. Muñiz
0 - 1
Defensores de Cambaceres
CAM
36%
26%
39%
36 38 2 -1
15 Apr. 2023
LUG
CA Lugano
0 - 0
Dep. Muñiz
MUÑ
31%
26%
43%
36 30 6 0
10 Apr. 2023
MUÑ
Dep. Muñiz
2 - 0
Central Ballester
CBA
67%
21%
13%
35 23 12 +1