El Porvenir vs Berazategui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ARM
2 - 0
POR
77%
16%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
PUE
39%
26%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
LAF
2 - 1
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
POR
2 - 3
LUJ
20%
26%
54%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
RPI
4 - 3
BER
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
SMA
67%
20%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
LAM
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ARM
2 - 1
BER
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BER
0 - 0
PUE
73%
18%
10%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |