Portuguesa Santista vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BER
2 - 0
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
JAB
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
DIA
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MAU
0 - 3
POR
20%
22%
59%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
DIA
2 - 0
AGU
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
BER
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
AGU
4 - 1
MAU
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
JAB
0 - 1
AGU
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |