Portuguesa RJ vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
48.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 3
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 5
POR
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
POR
2 - 2
CAB
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
ATI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
FER
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
VEL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FER
5 - 1
TCW
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |