Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 1
POR
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
MIN
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
TAC
16%
25%
60%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
POR
69%
21%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
LAR
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 2
TRU
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
DEP
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 2
LAR
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
LAR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |