Portuguesa FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
65%
23%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
MIR
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
24%
27%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
LAR
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 0
ARA
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
ARA
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 0
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
ARA
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 2
DEP
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |