Portugalete vs San Ignacio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 3
POR
13%
20%
67%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
POR
2 - 3
LEI
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
AFT
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CDU
60%
24%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
POR
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Ignacio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
AUR
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
SAN
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
BEA
42%
26%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
49%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
DEU
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |