Portugalete vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
AFT
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CDU
60%
24%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
POR
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
POR
4 - 0
BTG
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LEI
3 - 0
AUR
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
LEI
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BEA
2 - 1
LEI
43%
24%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 3
SFC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
DEU
2 - 0
LEI
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |