Portugal U-23 vs Germany U-23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
12.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
17.3%
57.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
6%
3-4
2.7%
4-5
0.8%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
4.3%
3-5
1.6%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
2.5%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
1.2%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
Basic stats
46
54
POS
13
20
SOT
6
5
COR
0
4
GF
4
0
GC
12
20
FRK
57
73
ELO
1.9
2.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team