Portugal U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 3
PRT
21%
22%
57%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PRT
2 - 0
ENG
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
PRT
1 - 0
HRV
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PRT
2 - 1
NLD
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PRT
2 - 1
CYP
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 0
SVN
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CZE
1 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
4 - 1
SWE
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |