UEFA EC U21 Grupo A round 3

Portugal U21 vs Bélgica U21 analysis

Portugal U21 Bélgica U21
82 ELO 71
10.8% Tilt 12.7%
391º General ELO ranking 1559º
Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
70.6%
Portugal U21
17.2%
Draw
12.3%
Bélgica U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
Portugal U21
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.3%
Win probability
Bélgica U21
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugal U21
-4%
-7%
Bélgica U21

ELO progression

Portugal U21
Bélgica U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U21
Portugal U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
POR
Portugal U21
1 - 1
Netherlands U21
NED
63%
20%
18%
82 75 7 0
21 Jun. 2023
GEO
Georgia U21
2 - 0
Portugal U21
POR
7%
15%
79%
83 56 27 -1
28 Mar. 2023
POR
Portugal U21
3 - 0
Noruega U21
NOR
73%
16%
11%
82 64 18 +1
24 Mar. 2023
ROU
Rumanía U21
0 - 2
Portugal U21
POR
17%
21%
62%
82 65 17 0
22 Nov. 2022
POR
Portugal U21
1 - 2
Japón U21
JPN
86%
10%
4%
83 63 20 -1

Matches

Bélgica U21
Bélgica U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
GEO
Georgia U21
2 - 2
Bélgica U21
BEL
19%
22%
59%
72 58 14 0
21 Jun. 2023
BEL
Bélgica U21
0 - 0
Netherlands U21
NED
34%
25%
42%
72 75 3 0
15 Jun. 2023
ISR
Israel U21
0 - 2
Bélgica U21
BEL
31%
25%
44%
71 63 8 +1
27 Mar. 2023
BEL
Bélgica U21
3 - 2
Japón U21
JPN
59%
21%
20%
71 64 7 0
24 Mar. 2023
CZE
Czech Republic U21
0 - 0
Bélgica U21
BEL
36%
25%
39%
71 69 2 0