International Friendly U20 round 3

Portugal U20 vs Denmark U20 analysis

Portugal U20 Denmark U20
57 ELO 58
-10.9% Tilt -4.8%
2514º General ELO ranking 2379º
39º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
36.5%
Portugal U20
23.9%
Draw
39.6%
Denmark U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
Portugal U20
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.7%
Win probability
Denmark U20
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Portugal U20
Denmark U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U20
Portugal U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2024
POR
Portugal U20
2 - 2
Czech Republic U20
CZE
41%
24%
36%
59 55 4 0
21 Nov. 2023
ITA
Italy U20
2 - 1
Portugal U20
POR
60%
22%
18%
59 69 10 0
17 Nov. 2023
POR
Portugal U20
2 - 1
Norway U20
NOR
36%
24%
40%
59 57 2 0
17 Oct. 2023
POR
Portugal U20
2 - 1
England U20
ENG
19%
20%
61%
58 66 8 +1
13 Oct. 2023
POR
Portugal U20
1 - 2
Germany U20
GER
28%
26%
46%
58 65 7 0

Matches

Denmark U20
Denmark U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
DEN
Denmark U20
1 - 2
Sweden U20
SWE
44%
23%
33%
58 55 3 0
16 Nov. 2023
DEN
Denmark U20
1 - 1
Sweden U20
SWE
45%
23%
32%
58 55 3 0
11 Sep. 2023
DEN
Denmark U20
1 - 3
France U20
FRA
26%
22%
52%
59 65 6 -1
08 Sep. 2023
FRA
France U20
2 - 2
Denmark U20
DEN
49%
23%
28%
59 66 7 0
05 Jun. 2021
IRL
Ireland U20
0 - 1
Denmark U20
DEN
19%
20%
61%
58 48 10 +1