U19 EC Qualifying Elite Round. Jor. 5

Portugal U19 vs Spain U19 analysis

Portugal U19 Spain U19
68 ELO 77
12.1% Tilt 5.2%
862º General ELO ranking 650º
14º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
34.1%
Portugal U19
24.1%
Draw
41.9%
Spain U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
Portugal U19
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.9%
Win probability
Spain U19
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugal U19
+5%
-4%
Spain U19

ELO progression

Portugal U19
Spain U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U19
Portugal U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2015
GEO
Georgia U19
2 - 3
Portugal U19
PRT
17%
20%
63%
69 53 16 0
29 May. 2015
PRT
Portugal U19
6 - 1
Turkey U19s
TUR
57%
22%
22%
68 63 5 +1
17 Nov. 2014
PRT
Portugal U19
2 - 1
Denmark U19s
DNK
69%
18%
13%
68 55 13 0
14 Nov. 2014
ALB
Albania U19s
1 - 4
Portugal U19
PRT
9%
15%
76%
68 40 28 0
12 Nov. 2014
PRT
Portugal U19
2 - 1
Wales U19s
WLS
83%
12%
6%
68 45 23 0

Matches

Spain U19
Spain U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2015
ESP
Spain U19
5 - 0
Turkey U19s
TUR
68%
19%
13%
76 62 14 0
29 May. 2015
ESP
Spain U19
4 - 1
Georgia U19
GEO
79%
14%
6%
76 54 22 0
05 Jun. 2014
DEU
Germany U19
3 - 1
Spain U19
ESP
33%
25%
42%
77 67 10 -1
02 Jun. 2014
ESP
Spain U19
2 - 0
Lithuania  U19
LTU
86%
10%
4%
77 35 42 0
31 May. 2014
ESP
Spain U19
3 - 1
Denmark U19s
DNK
77%
15%
8%
77 56 21 0
X